- Imali yaseBrithani ingaphansi kwengcindezi ngenxa yokusula kukaKeir Starmer kanye nokungaqiniseki okuphathelene nomlandeli wakhe.
- Imakethe iyesaba ukuthi ubuholi obusha buzosebenzisa izinqubomgomo zezimali ezingagcini kakhulu, okuzophazamisa izibopho zikahulumeni.
- Amandla edola laseMelika, aqhutshwa idatha eqinile yezomnotho kanye nenqubomgomo ye-Fed, andisa ukwehla kwephawundi.
- Izingxabano zezombusazwe eMpumalanga Ephakathi kanye nokungaqiniseki mayelana nokuvulwa kabusha kweStrait of Hormuz kwengeza ukuguquguquka kwesilinganiso sokushintshaniswa kwemali.
Isimo somnotho sase-UK sibucayi kakhulu, njengoba imali yezwe ibhekene nemiphumela yesimo sezombusazwe esishubile. iphawundi enhle kakhulu Kubonise ukwehla kwesimo, okubanjwe phakathi kwezingxabano phakathi kukahulumeni wangaphakathi kanye namandla angenakunyakaziswa edola laseMelika, okushiya abatshalizimali bekhathazekile.
Lesi simo asiyona into eyenzekile ngengozi, njengoba imizwa yemakethe ihlobene kakhulu nokuzinza kwanoma ubani ophethe eLondon. Lapho izisekelo zamandla ziqala ukuwohloka, ukuzethemba kwabaqhubi bamazwe ngamazwe Kuyancipha, okwenza i-pound ilahlekelwe amandla uma iqhathaniswa nezimali eziphephile njengoba wonke umuntu elinde ukubona ukuthi ubani ozophuma enqobile empini yobuholi.
Inkinga yobuholi bukaKeir Starmer kanye nemiphumela yayo
UNdunankulu waseBrithani uKeir Starmer ubhekene nesikhathi esinzima. Ukuphela kwento eyenzekile kwaba ukusula esikhundleni kukaNobhala Wezempilo uWes Streeting, owathi ulahlekelwe yithemba esiqondisweni sikahulumeni. Lesi sinyathelo sishiye uStarmer esesimweni esibucayi kakhulu, ikakhulukazi ngemuva kokuthi imiphumela emibi okhethweni lwendawo kusukela eNgilandi, eScotland naseWales, okukhuthaze imikhakha yeLabour Party ukuthi ifune umuntu ozongena esikhundleni sayo.
Abahlaziyi abanjengoMichael Pfister waseCommerzbank basikisela ukuthi imakethe ayisabuzi ukuthi uStarmer uzohamba yini, kodwa ukuthi uzohamba nini. Kunesifiso esinamandla ngaphakathi eqenjini lakhe sokugwema isiphithiphithi esasiphawuleka kumaConservatives, efuna ukuphuma ngendlela ehlelekile. Kodwa-ke, ingozi iseqinisweni lokuthi umuntu ongaba ngumlandeli, njengoMeya waseManchester u-Andy Burnham, angase angamukelwa kahle ngabatshalizimali bebhondi, njengoba ebhekwa njengonephrofayili. hhayi ngendlela evamile ezindabeni zentela>.
Okukhathazayo kakhulu ukuthi uma umholi omusha enquma ukunciphisa ukusetshenziswa kwemali yomphakathi futhi ashiye umgomo wesabelomali esilinganiselwe, izibopho zikahulumeni waseBrithani zingase zingazinzile. Ngokomlando, lapho izibopho zihlupheka, iphawundi livame ukulandela umkhuba ofanayo wokwehla, okudala umjikelezo omubi we ingcindezi eyehlayo emalini.
Idola laseMelika kanye ne-Federal Reserve factor
Nakuba iphawundi liwohloka, idola laseMelika libonakala lichuma. Imininingwane yezomnotho yase-US ibonakalise ukuthi iqinile ngendlela emangalisayo, njengoba izibalo zokuthengisa eziqinile kanye nokuntuleka kwemisebenzi zisikisela ukuthi umnotho usaqinile. Lokhu kuholele abatshalizimali ekubeni bakholelwe ukuthi iFederal Reserve (Fed) izoqhubeka nokuma kwayo kwenqubomgomo njengamanje. amazinga enzalo aphezulu isikhathi eside ukuze kulwiwe nokwehla kwamandla emali.
Lokhu kwehlukana kusobala: ngenkathi i-UK ibhekene nezinkinga zayo zangaphakathi, i-US iziveza njengendawo ephephile nenenzuzo. Ukulindela inqubomgomo yezimali evimbelayo e-US kuye kwabangela isidingo se-greenback, esizenzekela ngokuzenzakalelayo. kunciphisa intengo yebhangqa le-GBP/USD, okubangele ukuthi iphawundi lifinyelele ezingeni eliphansi muva nje.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, izibalo ezifana noJeffrey Schmid noJohn Williams be-Fed ziqinise umbono wokuthi ukukhuphuka kwamanani entengo kuseyisongo esiyinhloko, zisusa izinguquko ezisheshayo emazingeni enzalo. Lesi simo sishiya iphawundi lisesimweni esibucayi kakhulu, njengoba okwamanje lingenalo ukwesekwa komnotho oqinile.
Ukungezwani kwezepolitiki kanye nokungqubuzana ne-Iran
Akukhona konke ngezepolitiki zasekhaya. Isimo samazwe ngamazwe naso sidlala indima ebalulekile. Ukungaqiniseki okuphathelene nokuvulwa kabusha kweStrait of Hormuz kanye nezingxoxo ezishubile phakathi kwe-United States ne-Iran kubangele ukuthi i-pound ishintshe kakhulu. Imakethe isabela kuyo yonke i-tweet noma isitatimende esivela kuDonald Trump, osuke ethembeni waya ekukhungathekeni emahoreni ambalwa.
Lapho ithemba ngesivumelwano sokuthula liphela, abatshalizimali baphinde bafuna isiphephelo edola, okujezisa imali yaseBrithani futhi. Lokhu kuguquguquka kwenezela ekucindezelekeni kokwehla kwamandla emali okubangelwa yi- ukushaqeka kwamandla okuhlobene nengxabanoLokhu kuholele osomnotho eBhange LaseNgilandi, njengeHuw Pill, ukuthi baphakamise ukuthi kungadingeka ukuqinisa inqubomgomo yezimali ngokukhushulwa kwezinga lenzalo okuqhubekayo.
Umbono wezezimali kanye nendima yeBhange laseNgilandi
Ikhalenda liphawula usuku olubalulekile: isimemezelo sesabelomali ngoNovemba 26. Ngokusho kwe-ING, i-pound okwamanje ihweba ngeprimiyamu yobungozi okungenzeka ukuthi ihlale kuze kube yileso sikhathi. Izinguquko endleleni ephathelene nentela yengeniso ziye zaphazamisa abanikazi bamabhondi, okwengeza uphethiloli emlilweni we ukungazinzi kwezezimali.
Ngaphakathi kweKomidi Lenqubomgomo Yezimali leBhange LaseNgilandi, kukhona umbango wangaphakathi phakathi "kwama-hawk" (njengoCatherine Mann), abakhathazekile ngokukhuphuka kokwenyuka kokudla, kanye "namajuba" (njengoSwati Dhingra), abamukela ukulinganisela kokwenyuka kokwenyuka kwentengo yezinsizakalo. Lesi sigaba senza isinqumo senzalo sikaDisemba sibe isenzo sangempela sokulinganisela.
Nakuba i-GDP yekota yokuqala yayingcono kancane kunalokho obekulindelwe, idatha yakamuva yokuqasha nokuthengisa e-UK ikhomba umnotho opholile. Uma isabelomali sokugcina sibonakala sinciphile, singavula umnyango we- ukuncishiswa kwezinga lenzaloLokhu, ngokumangalisayo, kunganciphisa iprimiyamu yobungozi kodwa kuyenze buthaka imali esikhathini esifushane.
Ikusasa le-pound sterling manje lincike esivunguvungwini sezombusazwe ngaphakathi kwe-Labour Party esiwohlokayo kanye nengxabano eMpumalanga Ephakathi engakhuli. Uma nje isithunzi sobuholi obungazinzile sibonakala phezu kwe-Downing Street futhi idola liqhubeka nokukhombisa amandla alo, imali yaseBrithani izoqhubeka nokuhamba emanzini aguquguqukayo, kuye ngokuguquguquka kwesabelomali kanye nezinqumo zebhange eliphakathi.